BPF Party "Mad-Eye Rabalyatsi. Belarusian opposition in survival mode "status quo"
While, as the presidential campaign in 2010 demonstrated the dynamism royal carribean cruises and revival of interest opposition in Belarus, following the violent repression killed any hope for change in the country. Opposition, weakened by these events and the constant pressure from the authorities, could not use the economic crisis, government failure and ranking drop Lukashenko in his favor.
Instead, the opposition parties in Belarus after the 2010 elections went into survival mode "status quo." Dependent modest help from the West, they were absorbed mainly its own parallel royal carribean cruises political reality. Cut off from the general population, they did not use this opportunity, as the economic crisis to explain to people how their plans will be able to positively affect the lives of ordinary citizens. Meanwhile, the "political middle", as never before, disappointed in Lukashenko's administration. However, all attempts to use the so-called "third way" in order to reach this population failed. The main reason for the failure mode effective strategy of "divide and rule", but the lack of convincing arguments by the opponents of the government also contributes.
Political consequences of the economic crisis are obvious: in September 2011, Lukashenko's rating fell to 20.5%, royal carribean cruises the lowest figure for the time of his reign. However, a corresponding increase in the ratings royal carribean cruises of the opposition leaders royal carribean cruises did not happen. Meanwhile, in December 2011 Lukashenko's rating rose slightly above 24.9%, which indicates that, at least in the short term it is able to overcome the worst effects of the crisis.
Any objective analysis recognizes that the Belarusian opposition is now in a desperate situation. The most significant activists are in prison, and the rest have already managed to blow their health in prison dungeons. 12 years ago, some of the leaders royal carribean cruises who have caused the greatest impact in the community, were killed. Because of the constant repression for many years, their structures were frozen, as the authorities directly impeded change in the management and registration of new parties. Party filtered authorities who play "divide and rule" that evident in the Social Democrats, who currently could probably get the political loyalty of the majority of Belarusians. royal carribean cruises Practice shows that the parties is very difficult to expand its influence beyond the relatively small circle of admirers, because people are at risk of losing their livelihood if drawn into opposition activities. Meanwhile, regional activists harassed and driven power that is constantly fighting with them, not to allow to gain traction. royal carribean cruises Perhaps the opposition's ability to survive in these conditions, in fact, can be considered a success.
However, local experts say that despite this situation, already royal carribean cruises for a long time, there is a wonderful section of the status quo between Lukashenko and the opposition-leader-victim. Although they clearly hate each other, at the same time they are interdependent (and to some extent in the current environment): royal carribean cruises Lukashenko must be fixed costs with the opposition and to maintain its image last dictator in Europe to receive financial support from Russia.
At the same time, opposition leaders and civil society are completely dependent on even the most modest financial assistance from the West, which often leads to the fact that the opposition is living in their own parallel political reality in which reads as their news on their own websites. And it does not coincide with the reality of everyday life of ordinary people, who do not receive financial assistance from the West.
At the moment, the opposition in this parallel political reality is more focused on their internal politics than on what they want to see or offer those who are not part of their circle. In opposition royal carribean cruises leaders have a problem with the vision royal carribean cruises of how Belarus is different, and inner confidence that only they understand the real situation. Some activists are obsessed with process, not content, and focus more on its activities and press releases, rather than on specific results. Politicking and infighting over "crown" the opposition leader (or avoid that someone else got it) is more important royal carribean cruises for them to work with people royal carribean cruises and getting support of the latter. While some activists are making efforts to reach out to citizens, at least through the rhetoric and are developing plans that demonstrate their understanding of the need to expand the circle of supporters, most of the political forces continues to isolate royal carribean cruises itself, to focus on issues royal carribean cruises of conservation activists and their bases adhere to the level of activity that they have at the moment.
Classic example - the issue of political prisoners. Parties believe that they should cover this
While, as the presidential campaign in 2010 demonstrated the dynamism royal carribean cruises and revival of interest opposition in Belarus, following the violent repression killed any hope for change in the country. Opposition, weakened by these events and the constant pressure from the authorities, could not use the economic crisis, government failure and ranking drop Lukashenko in his favor.
Instead, the opposition parties in Belarus after the 2010 elections went into survival mode "status quo." Dependent modest help from the West, they were absorbed mainly its own parallel royal carribean cruises political reality. Cut off from the general population, they did not use this opportunity, as the economic crisis to explain to people how their plans will be able to positively affect the lives of ordinary citizens. Meanwhile, the "political middle", as never before, disappointed in Lukashenko's administration. However, all attempts to use the so-called "third way" in order to reach this population failed. The main reason for the failure mode effective strategy of "divide and rule", but the lack of convincing arguments by the opponents of the government also contributes.
Political consequences of the economic crisis are obvious: in September 2011, Lukashenko's rating fell to 20.5%, royal carribean cruises the lowest figure for the time of his reign. However, a corresponding increase in the ratings royal carribean cruises of the opposition leaders royal carribean cruises did not happen. Meanwhile, in December 2011 Lukashenko's rating rose slightly above 24.9%, which indicates that, at least in the short term it is able to overcome the worst effects of the crisis.
Any objective analysis recognizes that the Belarusian opposition is now in a desperate situation. The most significant activists are in prison, and the rest have already managed to blow their health in prison dungeons. 12 years ago, some of the leaders royal carribean cruises who have caused the greatest impact in the community, were killed. Because of the constant repression for many years, their structures were frozen, as the authorities directly impeded change in the management and registration of new parties. Party filtered authorities who play "divide and rule" that evident in the Social Democrats, who currently could probably get the political loyalty of the majority of Belarusians. royal carribean cruises Practice shows that the parties is very difficult to expand its influence beyond the relatively small circle of admirers, because people are at risk of losing their livelihood if drawn into opposition activities. Meanwhile, regional activists harassed and driven power that is constantly fighting with them, not to allow to gain traction. royal carribean cruises Perhaps the opposition's ability to survive in these conditions, in fact, can be considered a success.
However, local experts say that despite this situation, already royal carribean cruises for a long time, there is a wonderful section of the status quo between Lukashenko and the opposition-leader-victim. Although they clearly hate each other, at the same time they are interdependent (and to some extent in the current environment): royal carribean cruises Lukashenko must be fixed costs with the opposition and to maintain its image last dictator in Europe to receive financial support from Russia.
At the same time, opposition leaders and civil society are completely dependent on even the most modest financial assistance from the West, which often leads to the fact that the opposition is living in their own parallel political reality in which reads as their news on their own websites. And it does not coincide with the reality of everyday life of ordinary people, who do not receive financial assistance from the West.
At the moment, the opposition in this parallel political reality is more focused on their internal politics than on what they want to see or offer those who are not part of their circle. In opposition royal carribean cruises leaders have a problem with the vision royal carribean cruises of how Belarus is different, and inner confidence that only they understand the real situation. Some activists are obsessed with process, not content, and focus more on its activities and press releases, rather than on specific results. Politicking and infighting over "crown" the opposition leader (or avoid that someone else got it) is more important royal carribean cruises for them to work with people royal carribean cruises and getting support of the latter. While some activists are making efforts to reach out to citizens, at least through the rhetoric and are developing plans that demonstrate their understanding of the need to expand the circle of supporters, most of the political forces continues to isolate royal carribean cruises itself, to focus on issues royal carribean cruises of conservation activists and their bases adhere to the level of activity that they have at the moment.
Classic example - the issue of political prisoners. Parties believe that they should cover this
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